How traders systematically blow themselves up
FOMO, panic selling, reflexivity, narrative economics. The psychological layer Markowitz pretended did not exist and Soros built a career on. Most retail losses come from this list.
Anchoring bias
Tendency to rely heavily on the first piece of information encountered (the anchor) when making subsequent decisions. Common in price targets and entry levels.
Confirmation bias (trading)
Tendency to seek information that confirms existing positions and dismiss information that contradicts them. The most common cognitive bias in trading.
Disposition effect
Tendency to sell winners too early (lock in gains) and hold losers too long (avoid realizing losses). Documented by Shefrin and Statman; one of the most robust behavioral findings.
FOMO
Fear Of Missing Out - buying because others are profiting.
Hindsight bias
'I knew it all along' — the tendency to remember past predictions as more accurate than they were. Distorts strategy review and confidence calibration.
Loss aversion
Psychological asymmetry: losses are felt ~2x more strongly than equivalent gains. Foundational concept of Prospect Theory (Kahneman & Tversky, 1979).
Narrative economics
The idea that contagious stories drive markets, not just fundamentals.
Overtrading
Taking more trades than the system requires — either to capture FOMO setups, to recover losses, or because trading feels productive. Erodes edge through cost and bad entries.
Panic selling
DeepMass selling driven by fear, often at the worst possible time.
Recency bias
Overweighting recent events when forming expectations. Causes traders to chase recent winners and avoid recent losers — usually wrong.
Reflexivity
When market prices feed back into the underlying fundamentals they're supposed to reflect.
Revenge trading
Entering new trades primarily to recover from prior losses rather than because the setup is valid. Specific form of tilt.
Sunk-cost trap
Holding losing positions because of money already lost rather than forward-looking analysis. 'I've held this through a 30% drawdown; I'll wait for it to come back.'
Tilt
DeepEmotionally-impaired trading state where the trader makes decisions based on prior outcomes (anger, frustration, FOMO) rather than the trading plan.