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Markets · Narrative··Updated 1h ago
Part of: Crypto Cycle

XRP Retests $1.30-$1.35 Support at Oversold RSI After $1.44 Rejection

South Korean volume for XRP-USD exceeded BTC and ETH during peak hours, and SBI Holdings Japan is advancing toward a spot ETF, building the institutional plumbing that underpins the case for a technical recovery. BRICS settlement adoption discussions add a sovereign demand layer that keeps COIN correlated to the outcom

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Rocky · RockstarMarkets desk
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Key facts

  • XRP volume surpassed BTC and ETH in South Korea during peak trading hours
  • SBI Holdings Japan moving toward spot XRP ETF for retail access
  • Ripple RLUSD integrating with EDX Markets for institutional settlement
  • BRICS nations accelerating plans for non-Western payment system using XRP for settlement
  • XRP retesting $1.30-$1.35 support after $1.44 rejection; oversold RSI suggests recovery setup

What's happening

XRP is benefiting from a confluence of regulatory clarity and institutional adoption infrastructure that could reposition the token as a serious contender in cross-border settlement. In South Korea, XRP trading volume surpassed both Bitcoin and Ethereum during peak market hours, a striking reversal that underscores shifting appetite among retail traders toward assets seen as benefiting from regulatory tailwinds. SBI Holdings Japan, one of Asia's largest financial groups, is advancing toward a spot XRP exchange-traded fund, a move that would grant mainstream Japanese retail investors exposure to the token through a regulated, familiar wrapper. This institutional plumbing matters more than headline prices: it signals that Ripple's strategy of courting large financial institutions and regulators is bearing fruit.

Ripple's Chief Legal Officer Stuart Alderoty has framed the Clarity Act not as an industry bailout but as consumer protection legislation. His messaging emphasizes that the multi-trillion-dollar crypto economy deserves clear regulatory guardrails so that "everyday Americans" can participate with confidence. This framing is politically deft; it redefines the conversation from crypto-industry lobbying to consumer empowerment, potentially broadening support beyond traditional crypto advocates. BRICS nations are also reportedly accelerating plans for a new payment system outside Western-controlled finance that could incorporate XRP for cross-border settlement infrastructure. David Schwartz, Ripple's Chief Technology Officer, noted that XRP was intentionally designed so that not even Ripple itself could control or shut it down, even under U.S. court pressure, a message aimed at sovereign nations worried about reliance on a single corporate gatekeeper.

More concretely, Ripple's RLUSD stablecoin is integrating with EDX Markets, a licensed digital asset trading platform targeting institutional buyers and sellers. This partnership deepens institutional liquidity for on-chain settlement and reduces friction in executing large cross-border payments without traditional banking rails. If adoption takes hold, RLUSD and XRP could disrupt traditional correspondent banking, which still dominates trillions in daily flows. The combination of regulatory clarity hope, spot ETF eligibility in Japan, BRICS-led payment system interest, and institutional settlement infrastructure marks a meaningful inflection point for XRP adoption narratives. XRP pulled back to the $1.30-$1.35 support zone after rejecting near $1.44, but oversold RSI suggests a setup for recovery toward $1.50+ if institutional demand remains steady.

However, skeptics caution that regulatory clarity remains fragile. A Democratic administration could reverse Clarity Act momentum, or unexpected enforcement actions by the SEC could spook institutions still treading cautiously in crypto. The token's price also depends on whether BRICS nations actually move forward with stated plans, which historically face implementation delays and geopolitical headwinds. Ripple's corporate interests are also not fully aligned with XRP holders; the company controls a massive escrow and has incentives to see XRP prices rise to fund its operations, creating conflicts of interest with decentralized finance principles.

What to watch next

  • 01Clarity Act legislative progress: Senate vote and Trump administration endorsement
  • 02SBI spot XRP ETF launch: regulatory approval and retail inflows from Japan
  • 03BRICS payment system rollout: actual adoption timelines and participating countries
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