US 30Y Yield at 2007 Highs as Iran War Reprices Fed Hike Odds to 37%

A huge options bet Tuesday on Brent crude prices plunging rattled oil traders already on high alert for unusual flows, as Iran war headlines continue to whipsaw prices and regulators probe suspicious trading.

Bank of America’s commodities and derivatives research chief said his best-case oil-price scenario is Brent averaging $90 for the rest of the year, and the market may go even higher if the stalemate with Iran persists or heats up with fresh fighting.

A global bond selloff eases while stocks decline amid rising oil prices. President Trump expresses frustration with Iran, saying "the clock is ticking" on making a deal. The White House says China has agreed to buy at least $17 billion of US agricultural products and establish boards of trade and investment after the summit between President Trump and President Xi. Sharon Bell of Goldman Sachs discusses the equity market as investors look ahead to Nvidia's earnings report later in the week. Jude Blanchette of the RAND China Research Center analyzes the outcomes of the Trump-Xi summit. (Source: Bloomberg)

US President Donald Trump expressed frustration with Iran and told it the “clock is ticking,” hours after drones targeted a nuclear power plant in the United Arab Emirates. Tehran “better get moving, FAST, or there won’t be anything left of them,” Trump said on Truth Social on Sunday. These were his most belligerent comments regarding the Iran war, which remains in a fragile ceasefire, since he returned to the US from China on Friday. Stocks fell as the stalemate between the US and Iran kept driving oil prices higher, while bonds found some stability after last week’s global selloff. The Opening Trade has everything you need to know as markets open across Europe. With analysis you won't find anywhere else, we break down the biggest stories of the day and speak to top guests who have skin in the game. Hosted by Anna Edwards and Guy Johnson. (Source: Bloomberg)

Whether it's the price of a barrel of Brent crude or a pound of beef, it's clear prices are skyrocketing for all kinds of goods and commodities. Price shocks and shortages are, if anything, the way consumers understand the economy right now — at the grocery store or at the gas pump. We have not one but two perfect guests to talk to us today, our favorite commodity specialists: Bloomberg Opinion columnist Javier Blas and Lorcan Roche Kelly, the business editor at Irish Farmers Journal. Today's episode — which was recorded on stage at Wilton's Music Hall in London as part of our first ever show outside the US — covers how the world's farmers feel about US trade policy, why today's energy shock is so different from 2022's, the true impact of the UAE leaving OPEC, and why it's going to get harder to buy hard cheese in the near future. (Source: Bloomberg)

Whether it’s the price of a barrel of Brent crude or a pound of beef, it’s clear prices are skyrocketing for all kinds of goods and commodities. Price shocks and shortages are, if anything, the way consumers understand the economy right now — at the grocery store or at the gas pump. Certainly, current (and future) shocks can be explained by the closure of the Strait of Hormuz. But the environment is weirder than just across the board price increases: The price of corn has barely moved, for insta