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Part of: Crypto Cycle

CLARITY Act Nears Thursday Vote; XRP, ADA Rally on Commodity Designation, ETF Pathway

Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong says the CLARITY Act is "closer than ever" to passing, potentially cementing crypto as a commodity asset class under federal law. The bill is expected to pass a committee vote Thursday, unlocking spot crypto ETF pathways and sending XRP and ADA rallying on regulatory clarity expectations.

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Key facts

  • Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong: CLARITY Act "closer than ever" to passing
  • Committee vote expected Thursday May 14; bill would classify crypto as commodities
  • XRP rally expected if CLARITY passes; commodity status unlocks spot ETF pathway
  • Spot crypto ETF approvals could follow within weeks if bill passes
  • ADA, SOL, and other Layer-1 tokens also benefiting from regulatory clarity narrative

What's happening

The CLARITY Act, which would classify most cryptocurrencies as commodities rather than securities, is approaching its moment of truth. Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong stated publicly that the bill is "closer than ever" and called it "strong," signaling industry confidence that it will clear committee on Thursday (May 14) before a potential floor vote. The passage of CLARITY would represent the first major federal win for the crypto industry in years, finally settling the binary choice that has hung over tokens: are they securities (subject to SEC oversight and registration) or commodities (subject to CFTC oversight and more favorable tax and custody treatment)?

The bill's most immediate impact would be on XRP. Ripple has long fought the SEC's assertion that XRP is a security, and a CLARITY Act passage would settle that question definitively, making XRP a commodity. This would unlock a spot XRP ETF pathway (similar to Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs that launched in 2024-2025), potentially opening massive institutional inflows. XRP has rallied to $1.46 ahead of the vote, with traders positioning for a move to $2.00+ if the bill passes. Cardano (ADA) is also riding the wave, as CLARITY would similarly clarify ADA's status and remove regulatory overhang from the token.

The bill would also benefit the broader crypto ecosystem by establishing clear rules for stablecoin issuers, DeFi protocols, and custodians. A "clear" regulatory framework is the one thing crypto has lacked since 2017, and the fact that it is finally being legislated suggests that Congress and the Trump administration are serious about treating crypto as a legitimate asset class. The passage would likely trigger ETF filings for XRP and other tokens that have been in regulatory limbo, and trading volumes on exchanges like Coinbase and Kraken would likely surge.

However, skepticism remains on the actual vote timing and the bill's final form. Previous crypto bills have stalled in Congress, and there is still vocal opposition from legacy finance, the SEC (which will lose regulatory authority), and consumer protection advocates who worry about fraud. If CLARITY fails to pass Thursday or is watered down significantly, the crypto rally could reverse sharply, with XRP and ADA giving back gains. Additionally, the passage of CLARITY is only the first step; the Treasury will still need to issue guidance on custody, taxation, and smart contract liability, a process that could take months. Smart traders are positioning ahead of the vote but remain cognizant that regulatory disappointments are still possible.

What to watch next

  • 01CLARITY Act committee vote: Thursday May 14 (expected)
  • 02Floor vote timing if committee approves (likely within 2 weeks)
  • 03Spot XRP ETF filing by Ripple or third parties after passage
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Tracking the crypto cycle — Bitcoin, Ethereum, altcoin rotation, ETF flows, regulatory milestones and the macro liquidity backdrop.