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Markets · Narrative··Updated 1h ago
Part of: Crypto Cycle

Bitcoin Falls Below $79,000 as Inflation Shock Triggers Crypto Selloff; BTC Faces $71K Support

Bitcoin dipped below $79,000 on Friday as inflation fears and rising Treasury yields sparked a broad risk-off move across crypto assets. Fear and Greed Index fell to 34 (fear zone), with liquidations of 274 million dollars in long positions, signalling potential test of lower support levels.

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Key facts

  • BTC dropped below $79,000; down 3.18% Friday as inflation fears spike
  • 274 million dollars in long liquidations in recent hours
  • Fear and Greed Index at 34 (fear zone); lowest since late March
  • Major support zones at $71,000-$65,000; resistance near $92,000-$98,000

What's happening

Bitcoin and the broader cryptocurrency market have faced sustained pressure from macroeconomic headwinds as inflation concerns and rising interest rates weigh on risk appetite. BTC dropped below 79,000 on Friday, a decline of 3.18 percent, as equity markets sold off sharply amid spiking Treasury yields and hotter-than-expected inflation data. Ethereum fell alongside, with ETH closing below the critical 2,200 level and putting the market under pressure. The Fear and Greed Index collapsed to 34, indicating that sentiment has shifted from neutral to fear territory.

Liquidations in leveraged long positions have accelerated the decline. Data shows approximately 274 million dollars in Bitcoin long positions were liquidated in a matter of hours on Friday as stop-losses were triggered and margin calls forced capitulation. The liquidation cascade is a typical feature of volatile crypto markets, where leveraged traders are forced to unwind bets when prices move sharply. This dynamic has created downside momentum that could extend to key technical levels around 71,000 to 65,000, where major liquidity clusters sit.

Yet the longer-term narrative remains constructive. On-chain metrics show Bitcoin's network growth rebounding and approaching a bullish inflection zone. The MVRV Z-Score (market value realized value) sits around 1.0, well below levels seen at prior cycle tops, suggesting the market is structurally nowhere near capitulation. Long-term holder supply in loss has risen to near-historic highs from 2015, 2018, and 2020, typically indicating that large holders are at their pain threshold but not yet surrendering.

The macro backdrop is the key variable. If Treasury yields stabilize and inflation fears recede, the technical setup for a recovery could be in place. Bitcoin's recent performance has decoupled from gold (up 20 percent while gold fell 11 percent since geopolitical tensions escalated), suggesting that investors view BTC as a superior inflation hedge. However, if yields continue to rise and the Fed signals higher-for-longer policy, crypto could face further headwinds. The 78,000 to 79,000 zone remains a key short-term level to watch.

What to watch next

  • 01Treasury yield direction (key inverse correlation to BTC)
  • 02PCE inflation data release next week
  • 03Major liquidity cluster test at $71,000 support
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