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Part of: AI Capex

US Approves NVIDIA H200 Sales to 10 Chinese Companies Amid Trump-Xi Talks

The US government approved sales of NVIDIA H200 chips to 10 Chinese companies, a major policy shift signaling openness to AI infrastructure trade. The move came during Trump-Xi state banquet in Beijing with CEOs including Jensen Huang, Elon Musk, and Tim Cook present, lifting NVDA shares and suggesting China tech trade tensions may ease.

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Key facts

  • US approved NVIDIA H200 chip sales to 10 Chinese companies
  • Jensen Huang attended Trump-Xi state banquet in Beijing on May 14
  • NVDA gained 20% in seven days, nearing $6 trillion market cap
  • CEO delegation included Tim Cook, Elon Musk, and other major tech leaders

What's happening

The approval marks a significant turnaround in semiconductor export controls. Throughout 2025, the US had severely restricted advanced chip sales to China, but the Beijing summit and direct engagement between Trump and Xi appear to have created room for controlled commerce. The timing is striking: NVIDIA CEO Jensen Huang was physically present at the state banquet, underlining the high-level nature of these negotiations and the company's central role in the outcome.

This move stands in sharp contrast to the regulatory posture of the prior administration. Rather than a wholesale lifting of restrictions, the approval appears narrowly tailored to H200 chips sold to specific Chinese companies, suggesting a pragmatic middle ground. Market participants immediately priced in reduced geopolitical risk for semiconductor names, with NVDA gaining 20% over seven days and approaching a $6 trillion market capitalization. Broadcom (AVGO) also benefited as a key supplier to the AI buildout.

The cross-asset implications are immediate. Semiconductor supply chain stocks rally on reduced China policy uncertainty. Chinese chipmakers, however, face renewed competitive pressure if US companies gain legitimate market access. Tech names more broadly benefit from lower tail-risk premiums on US-China escalation. The energy sector faces headwinds if trade normalization reduces geopolitical risk premiums on oil prices.

Sceptical voices note that this approval could be reversed if political winds shift. The deal also highlights Washington's ongoing desire to maintain leverage over China through export control mechanisms, even as it selectively opens doors. Some see this as a temporary reprieve rather than a durable reset in tech relations. Market traders will monitor Trump administration statements and any additional approval announcements for confirmation that this is a sustained policy shift.

What to watch next

  • 01Further US approval announcements for China chip exports: this week
  • 02NVIDIA earnings and guidance on China revenue exposure: Q2 release
  • 03Trump administration policy statements on tech trade: ongoing
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