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Markets · Narrative··Updated 23h ago
Part of: Crypto Cycle

XRP momentum builds as CLARITY Act advances toward vote

Ripple's XRP token is surging on hopes the Senate Banking Committee will vote this week on the CLARITY Act, which would formally classify crypto as commodities and unlock a spot XRP ETF pathway. Real transaction volume is climbing alongside speculation.

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Key facts

  • Senate Banking Committee CLARITY Act markup vote scheduled for Thursday
  • XRP transaction volume up 65% in 12 months to 71M/month
  • Rakuten Wallet enables XRP swaps for 44M users across 5M shops
  • XRP funding rates on Binance turned negative, historically reset signal
  • $25.8M flowing into XRP ETFs; institutions accumulating ahead of approval

What's happening

XRP has staged a remarkable rebound, climbing toward $1.50 as the CLARITY Act moved into markup phase this week in the Senate Banking Committee. The legislation targets a July 4 passage deadline, and industry observers believe formal commodity classification could unlock institutional demand via a spot XRP ETF. The narrative is shifting from pure speculation to utility; transaction volume on the XRP ledger jumped 65% over the past 12 months to 71 million transactions per month, with real businesses like Bitstamp, Braza Bank, and JusToken now settling actual payments on-chain.

Retail traders have zeroed in on Thursday as a potential trigger. Multiple posts cite the markup vote as an inflection point; some targets are wildly bullish (predictions of $4 to $30 by year-end), while more sober analysis focuses on $2 to $3 as institutional entry points post-ETF approval. Rakuten Wallet in Japan just enabled point-to-XRP swaps for 44 million users and 5 million shops, a major retail adoption milestone. XRP funding rates on Binance have turned negative, historically a sign of reset after extreme optimism; some traders interpret this as capitulation and a clean setup for higher prices.

This narrative benefits from broader crypto recovery and the Trump administration's pro-crypto signals. However, sceptics remain: XRP is still viewed by some as a payments rail, not a store of value, and regulatory approval is never guaranteed. The funding rate inversion and consolidation around $1.45 suggest traders are hedging directional conviction. Moreover, if the CLARITY Act stalls or morphs into a narrower bill, the rally could evaporate. Many large holders are also sitting at $1.46 resistance, ready to take profits.

Key watch is whether the markup vote actually proceeds Thursday as expected, and whether the White House's July 4 target holds political weight through a potentially turbulent legislative calendar.

What to watch next

  • 01Senate Banking Committee markup vote Thursday
  • 02White House targeting July 4 CLARITY Act passage
  • 03Spot XRP ETF approval timeline post-legislation
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