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Trump's 10% global tariffs declared unlawful; trade war uncertainty persists

A federal trade court ruled President Trump's blanket 10% global tariffs unlawful, dealing a fresh blow to his trade agenda. European carmakers face EUR 8 billion in cumulative tariff hits, while investors brace for continued legal and policy uncertainty.

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Key facts

  • Federal trade court ruled Trump's 10% global tariffs unlawful in fresh blow to trade agenda
  • European carmakers face EUR 8 billion in cumulative tariff hits; Trump threatens 25% more
  • Spice company won lawsuit against tariff regime; small manufacturers gaining legal victories
  • Goldman Sachs: S&P 500 buybacks expected to grow only 3% this year due to capex and tariff pressures
  • Germany defence minister planning Washington trip to resolve Trump trade tensions

What's happening

Trump's signature economic policy suffered a significant setback this week when a federal trade court declared his 10% global tariff regime unlawful, months after the Supreme Court upheld other components of his trade authority. The ruling creates immediate uncertainty for multinational corporations and challenges the administration's core tariff strategy. European carmakers are already absorbing an estimated 8 billion euro hit from existing levies, with Trump threatening an additional 25% increase if the EU does not implement last year's trade agreement. Germany's Defence Minister is planning a Washington trip to resolve tensions with Trump over arms procurement after Chancellor Merz fell out with the US president, signaling that trade friction is extending into critical security relationships. A spice company won its lawsuit against the tariff regime, becoming a symbolic victory for small manufacturers hit by the broad-based duty structure. Goldman Sachs has warned that S&P 500 buyback growth is expected to slow to just 3% this year due to economic shakiness and AI capex pressures; tariff uncertainty compounds this headwind by forcing companies to defer capital allocation. Corporate margins face pressure from both input cost inflation and demand uncertainty, yet market rallies have persisted, suggesting that gains in AI and semiconductors are offsetting tariff drag. Traders are watching for further court rulings and any Biden-style pivot on tariff implementation that could provide clarity for long-term planning.

What to watch next

  • 01Further federal court rulings on tariff legality: expected in coming weeks
  • 02Trump tariff implementation policy: any relief or clarification
  • 03EU-US trade negotiations: potential deal announcements
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