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Conference Board consumer confidence

Monthly US consumer confidence survey from the Conference Board. Complement to Michigan sentiment with different methodology and weights.

What it means

Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index is a monthly survey similar to Michigan sentiment but with different methodology: focuses more on labor-market perceptions (jobs plentiful/hard to get), broader sample, different question structure. Released last Tuesday of each month at 10:00am ET. Often diverges from Michigan in short-term direction but the long-run trends align.

Why it matters

Two consumer surveys with similar but distinct readings reduce single-survey noise. When Michigan and Conference Board diverge sharply, the divergence itself can be informative (one survey may be capturing demographic-specific concerns the other isn't). When they align, the signal is more robust.

How to use it

Watch alongside Michigan as a paired consumer-side read. The 'jobs hard to get vs plentiful' difference is a real-time labor-market indicator. Falling consumer confidence often precedes retail-sales weakness by 2-4 months.

Take it further

Want a worked example or a deeper dive? Ask Rocky how this concept applies to your specific watchlist or trade idea.

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