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Part of: AI Capex

Brent Crude Surges Past $110 as Iran Blockade Pressures Energy, Tech Stocks

Energy and tech stocks diverged sharply as Brent crude spiked above $110 on Iran sanctions escalation, while crypto assets rallied on CLARITY Act Senate progress and pro-crypto Fed Chair Kevin Warsh's May 22 swearing-in.

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Rocky · RockstarMarkets desk
Every weekday at 16:30 ET

TL;DR

  • Brent crude surged past $110 on Iran blockade; 30Y yields hit 5.11% signaling inflation fears
  • XRP ETF inflows hit $60.5M weekly record on CLARITY Act Senate progress; crypto rallies on Warsh Fed appointment
  • Broadcom positioned for 68% AI TPU market share in 2027; Ackman bets $2.09B on Microsoft amid mega-cap concentration risk
  • Bitcoin holds $78K support after $527M liquidation; energy sector rallies while tech faces real-yield headwinds
Sectors in focus
Tickers

Key movers

  • $BZ
    Brent crude surged past $110 on Iran naval blockade escalation and Strait of Hormuz supply shock
  • $XRP
    Spot XRP ETF inflows hit $60.5M weekly record; Senate advanced Digital Asset Market Clarity Act
  • $AVGO
    UBS models 6.76M TPU shipments in 2027 (68% market share); AI infrastructure capex tailwind
  • $BTC
    Bitcoin held $78K support after $527M liquidation wave; pro-crypto Warsh Fed transition signals strength
  • $MSFT
    Bill Ackman purchased $2.09B stake, signaling mega-cap AI conviction despite tech sector pressure

Full brief

The broad equity market finished mixed today, with sector rotation intensifying amid competing inflation and structural growth narratives. Energy benefited from geopolitical risk premium as Brent crude surged past $110 per barrel following U.S.-Iran escalation and effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz, pressuring global oil supply. However, traditional equities faced headwinds from a sharp bond selloff; 30-year Treasury yields breached 5.11% on inflation concerns, the highest in several years, forcing portfolio rebalancing across risk assets and weighing on mega-cap valuations.

The energy complex led gainers as crude strength rippled across utilities and integrated majors. Conversely, tech and discretionary struggled against rising real yields. Energy names benefited from the structural supply shock, while financial stocks remained whipsawed between rate expectations and credit concerns tied to margin compression in consumer-facing sectors. The Russell 2000 underperformed as small-cap operators face acute exposure to higher financing costs and energy input pressures.

Single-stock narratives provided relief to growth investors. Broadcom (AVGO) gained traction on UBS modeling of 9.87 million total TPU shipments in 2027, with Broadcom capturing 6.76 million units (68% market share), underscoring AI infrastructure capex acceleration. Crypto assets surged late in the session: Bitcoin held above $78K support after a $527 million liquidation wave that flushed roughly $510 million in longs, while XRP rallied on strong spot ETF inflows ($60.5M weekly record) following Senate progress on the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act. Microsoft edged higher despite broad tech pressure, buoyed by Bill Ackman's $2.09 billion stake purchase; Ackman's simultaneous exit from Google ($400M loss) signals concentration risk in mega-caps.

Cross-asset moves reflected inflation anxiety dominating the narrative. The US Dollar Index firmed as Treasury yields rose, crimping risk appetite for emerging-market and commodity-linked trades. Gold retreated slightly as nominal yields compressed real returns. Bitcoin's hold near $78K despite macro volatility demonstrated resilience tied to Warsh's appointment as Fed Chair beginning May 22; his pro-crypto stance and inflation-hawk positioning offered crypto investors confidence in potential policy shifts. Natural gas and crude both signaled supply tightness; NG futures climbed on geopolitical pressure alongside the oil spike.

After-hours data showed moderate earnings activity. FatPipe Inc. (FATN) reported Q4 and FY2026 results with 90% year-over-year Q4 revenue growth and Q4 recurring revenue up 56% year-over-year, delivering a bright spot in software infrastructure. Akamai Technologies filed to raise $2.6 billion in convertible bonds to fund cloud computing capex, a tacit acknowledgment of AI-driven infrastructure investment cycles. No major mega-cap earnings released into the close, but the convertible bond surge signaled incremental conviction on capex cycles despite rate pressure.

Tomorrow's setup hinges on inflation expectations and geopolitical escalation. Oil markets remain live to Strait of Hormuz supply flow updates; any further Iran sanctions could push Brent toward $115. Treasury yield trajectory will be critical; a sustained break above 5.10% in 30-year rates threatens equity valuations absent faster earnings growth. Warsh's May 22 transition and pro-crypto signals may continue to support digital assets, while mega-cap tech and growth trades await conviction data. Watch for any messaging on AI capex spending from earnings pileup midweek.

Macro events

  • Kevin Warsh sworn in as Fed Chair
    May 22, 2026
    high
  • Senate advances Digital Asset Market Clarity Act
    May 18, 2026
    high

What to watch next

  • 01Strait of Hormuz supply flow updates; further Iran sanctions risk push Brent toward $115
  • 0230-year Treasury yield trajectory; sustained break above 5.10% threatens equity valuations absent earnings growth
  • 03Warsh Fed transition May 22; pro-crypto signals may continue supporting digital assets overnight
  • 04Mega-cap tech and growth earnings pileup midweek; watch AI capex guidance and conviction signals
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